By Lori Ranson
While the economics of operating 50-seat jets has put those aircraft at a disadvantage to larger 70 and 90-seat aircraft, the fundamentals of their emergence late in the last decade remain intact: namely US pilot scope clauses.
Scope caps the number of regional jets operated by carriers on behalf of their partners, and also limits the number of seats per aircraft. United, Delta, Northwest and US Airways all got some relief on the 50-seat cap during their respective stints in Chapter 11 during the early 2000s. But American and Continental are still largely constrained to operating 50-seat aircraft.
As Bombardier works to secure orders for its 100-seat CRJ1000 and CSeries aircraft and Embraer’s orderbook tilts towards the larger end of its 170/190 E-Jet family, it appears that aircraft with roughly 76-to 86-seats are becoming the new dividing point between regional and mainline aircraft. A few regional carriers operate aircraft in the 86-seat range, but most of the larger regional jets are constrained to the 76-seat category.
Some airline executives are taking a sober view of any further loosening of scope restrictions as Delta Connection senior vice president Don Bornhorst recently told Regional Airline Association convention attendees he was not optimistic about scope relief for Delta or the industry. He predicts the CSeries and E-195 are destined to become mainline aircraft.
United seems less cynical than Delta as it begins contract talks with its pilots. Through its four-year restructuring that ended in 2006 United ultimately struck a deal with pilots that currently allows for an unlimited number of 70-seat jets with an 80,000lb weight limit. Certain limitations are associated with that somewhat unfettered access including fewer regional block hours than mainline. There are also some restrictions on nonstop 70-plus seat operations between United hubs and specific larger markets such as New York and Washington, DC, based unless those operations are cost-effective, according to data from F&H Solutions Group.
Carrier vice president operations and planning for United Express Cindy Szadokierski told convention attendees that in current pilot contract talks “obviously scope is an issue we need to work our way through. In this environment with capacity reductions we see opportunities on both sides to move forward and meet both our needs”.
© AGP Photography
While acknowledging the challenge of predicting with any clarity the outcome of those labour talks Bombardier Commercial Aircraft president Gary Scott does offer that he “has no doubt majors would like to increase the number and size of aircraft they operate in those [regional environments]. Both small CSeries and larger CRJs would fill the requirement should scope be relaxed”.
But mainline pilot resistance to scope remains steadfast as evidenced by the roughly 32-month long contract talks between American Airlines and its pilots.
Seeking to get on a level footing with its US mainline counterparts American aims to secure relief to operate 76-seat jets with a maximum takeoff weight of 89,000lbs. In a recent round of negotiations with pilots American management compared the 25 single-class CRJ700s flown by its subsidiary American Eagle to 209 larger 70-plus seat regional jets flown by Delta Connection carriers, with 149 of those aircraft featuring a two-class configuration. United, says American, operates 112 larger regional jets configured with a two-class offering.
American pilots scoffed at the presentation, dismissing it as a “pitch for APA [the Allied Pilots Association] to allow a scope exception permitting Eagle to fly a 76-seat Embraer in a two-class configuration”.
The reaction by American pilots appears to be consistent with a theory posed by industry analyst Michael Boyd to attendees at the RAA convention that US pilots are “adamant” of not letting go of scope and “not loosening those strings”.
Valued at $48 million over the life of the F135’s production phase, the deal seals the company’s role as a permanent member of the JSF’s supply chain, company officials said during a signing ceremony at the CANSEC defence and security exhibition in Ottawa on 27 May.
Gastops’ selection comes as both the F135 and the rival General Electric/Rolls-Royce F136 teams step up their efforts in Canada to pursue future business. The F136 is the alternate engine programme funded under the JSF programme.
Canada is participating in the F-35 programme, and is considering the fighter to replace its Boeing CF-188 (F/A-18A/B) fleet after 2017. Each JSF buyer will have the option of choosing between the F135 and F136 propulsion systems.
The newly selected fan eddy current system monitors the structural health of the first-stage fan blades on the F135.
Gastops has previously supplied oil debris detection sensors for P&W F119 engines that power the Lockheed F-22 fighter, and for the PW1000G engine selected for the Bombardier CSeries small airliner.
By Andrew Doyle
Air Berlin is in the early stages of evaluating large regional jets but has yet to scope out the size of any requirement or set a deadline for making a selection.
Germany’s second-largest carrier introduced 76-seat Bombardier Q400s to its fleet last year but is looking at 100-seat jets that could be used to launch new routes, plugging the gap between the turboprop type and the low-fare carrier’s smallest mainline jets, which are the 136-seat Boeing 737-300 and 144-seat Airbus A319.
“We are looking at several [regional jet types],” said Air Berlin chief executive Joachim Hunold, speaking in Vienna on 26 May at an event to mark the entry into service of the first Niki 104-seat Embraer 190.
Air Berlin holds a 24% stake in Niki, established by former racing driver Niki Lauda in 2004. “We went to Moscow two weeks ago to look at the Superjet 100,” says Hunold. “It looks to be a very good aircraft.” With regard to the E-190, he adds: “We are anticipating data from Niki – we’ll see what the best choice is.”
© Andrew Doyle/Flight International
Canada’s Department of National Defence abruptly cancelled an industry day scheduled for 26 May for a major new contract for high-end unmanned air systems.
The event for the joint unmanned surveillance and target acquisition system (JUSTAS), to be held on the eve of the CANSEC defence and security exhibition in Ottawa, was cancelled at the last moment and without explanation, according to industry sources.
The meeting, which had been intended to inform potential bidders of the DND’s acquisition strategy and capability requirements, was not immediately rescheduled.
The C$750 million ($669 million) JUSTAS contract has attracted interest from several contractors. These include Elbit Systems, offering the Hermes 1500; a General Dynamics Canada/General Atomics Aeronautical Systems team offering the Predator B; and MacDonald, Dettwiler and Associates/Israel Aerospace Industries (MDA/IAI) with the latter’s Heron system.
Last year, the DND selected the MDA/IAI team to provide the Heron to meet an urgent requirement to provide surveillance support for Canadian troops serving with the NATO International Security Assistance Force in Afghanistan. Operated from Kandahar airfield, the medium-altitude, long-endurance Heron system (below) has replaced Canadian use of Sagem’s Sperwer.
© Cpl Andrew Saunders/Canadian Forces
The interim contract, called Project Noctua, had also been pursued by General Atomics, but the company withdrew citing concerns about the DND’s acquisition strategy.
UK operator Flybe is disputing British Airways‘ opinion over its prospects after the flag-carrier wrote down its investment in the regional airline.
In notes to its recently-released full-year results, British Airways includes a £13 million ($20.7 million) impairment on its investment in Flybe. BA took a 15% share of the regional carrier in 2006 as part of its sale to Flybe of its BA Connect regional operation.
BA had already recognised a £6 million impairment of its Flybe investment, the result of a “significant and prolonged” decline in fair value following fuel-price rises.
But in its 2008-09 fiscal notes it says a further review of Flybe has revealed a “lower rate of forecast revenue and earnings growth than previously expected”. This, it says, has resulted in a “further decline” of fair value, and BA has posted an additional £13 million impairment of Flybe, valuing the investment at £30 million.
Flybe has responded with “surprise” to the impairment and “disagrees” with BA’s conclusions. It says the impairment is “inappropriate”, claiming that the flag-carrier is “undervaluing” the regional airline and has “failed to take into account” several important considerations.
“We believe that the decision is principally based on BA’s view of their own performance and prospects rather than an analytical view of Flybe’s track record and future prospects,” it states.
Flybe states that its turnover in the year to 31 March was up 7%, with cash reserves of £57 million, and that it expects to post a pre-tax profit. It also says it is “one of a handful” of European carriers forecasting a profit for 2009-10.
Its business model, it says, is aligned more with that of low-cost carriers which have performed better than the network airlines. Flybe also claims to have reduced capacity without affecting its core route structure.
“Flybe has carefully positioned itself during these difficult times,” it says. “It has managed to strongly increase market share in its core domestic operations, positioning itself well for further profit growth when the current recession ends.”
Star Alliance is to adopt its regional partner airlines as full members as part of a change in the way the increasingly-broad airline group is managed.
Three carriers – Croatia Airlines, Adria Airways and Blue1 – were given ‘regional’ membership status by Star when the alliance introduced the concept five years ago.
But a spokesman for Star says: “There are currently plans to look into the governance of the alliance, to put us into a better position for future growth.”
He says that, as a result, the regional carriers will effectively be promoted to full partners.
Star has not given a time-frame in which the changes will occur and the alliance has yet to explain in detail the effect on its management structure.
The alliance has 21 full members and another five – Brussels Airlines, TAM, Continental Airlines, Air India and Aegean Airlines – are in the process of joining.
Aegean Airlines became the latest to submit its formal application this week, and its acceptance would bring the alliance to nearly 30 members, counting the regional partners. Other carriers, among them Ethiopian Airlines, have expressed an intention to join Star.
SkyTeam has a similar two-tier structure whereby its 10 full members are complemented by three associates. Continental is in the process of moving to Star, while Vietnam Airlines and Tarom are respectively lined up as a future full and associate members.
Oneworld has just taken its own prospective membership to 12 carriers, with the acceptance of Russia’s S7 Airlines and Mexicana as new members. While the group is single-tier, it extends to the subsidiary carriers of its partners.